| Overall | 15W 5L 2T |
| District | 5W 1L 2T |
| Expected | 17: 2+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
4 3 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1315 51 Strength Momentum |
1236 64.6(3) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.000 | 1152 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1293 | 73% |  |
| 08/22/15 | at Onate | 0.000 | 859 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1147 | 95% | |
| 08/24/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.000 | 1350 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1292 | 40% | |
| 08/26/15 | at La Cueva ? | 0.000 | 1305 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1270 | 48% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Del Norte | 0.000 | 798 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1586 | 97% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Manzano | 0.001 | 915 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1275 | 93% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Cleveland | 0.002 | 1236 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1336 | 60% | |
| 09/08/15 | St. Pius | 0.003 | 1071 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1284 | 86% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Albuquerque !! | 0.007 | 1422 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1429 | 29% | |
| 09/15/15 | Eldorado | 0.011 | 1150 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1323 | 78% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Los Alamos ! | 0.014 | 1300 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 1418 | 50% | |
| 09/19/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.022 | 1495 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1346 | 24% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.005 | 1050 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1657 | 84% | |
| 09/26/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.044 | 1251 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1475 | 64% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Cibola | 0.098 | 1232 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1334 | 61% | |
| 10/07/15 | Cleveland | 0.220 | 1236 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1266 | 66% | |
| 10/10/15 | Santa Fe | 0.242 | 1050 | W 4- 1 | Expected (0) | 1323 | 88% | |
| 10/14/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.385 | 1251 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1343 | 58% | |
| 10/17/15 | Cibola ?? | 0.476 | 1232 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1214 | 67% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Cleveland | 0.732 | 1236 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1286 | 60% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Hobbs | 0.946 | 1286 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1360 | 55% | |
| 11/06/15 | * Albuquerque | 0.988 | 1422 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1328 | 32% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rio Rancho actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1236, while
Rio Rancho's "weighted playing strength" is 1315
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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